Founder Playbooks
๐Ÿ’ฐ Finance

Cash Flow Management

How to forecast, monitor, and manage cash flow to maintain financial stability and extend runway at every stage of growth.

Cash Flow Forecasting

  1. Build a Forecasting ProcessA disciplined forecasting cadence lets you anticipate problems weeks or months before they become crises.
    • Maintain a short-term (13-week rolling) cash forecast updated weekly
    • Build quarterly and annual projections using historical actuals, sales forecasts, and headcount plans
    • Reconcile your cash forecast to your financial model every month so both stay accurate
    • Update forecasts promptly when business conditions change โ€” stale forecasts are worse than none
  2. Run Sensitivity AnalysisModeling a range of scenarios is the difference between being surprised by a cash shortfall and having a plan ready when one emerges.
    • Model base, upside, and downside cases with clearly documented assumptions for each
    • Identify the key variables that most affect cash: revenue timing, hiring pace, and major vendor payments
    • Determine at what point in the downside scenario you'd need to raise additional capital or cut costs
    • Review scenario outputs with the leadership team quarterly and after any major business event
Articles
https://deloitte.wsj.com/cfo/why-an-emphasis-on-cash-flow-forecasting-remains-critical-01675711952
1deloitte.wsj.com/cfo/why-an-emphasis-on-cash-flow-forecastin

Monitoring Cash Flow

  1. Establish Key Cash Flow KPIsReal-time visibility into cash performance lets you catch deviations before they compound into larger problems.
    • Track operating cash flow, free cash flow, and cash conversion cycle as your primary KPIs
    • Build a cash dashboard that updates daily or weekly from your accounting system
    • Report ending cash balance and months of runway at every leadership team meeting
    • Compare actuals to forecast every week and document the variance with an explanation
  2. Set Alerts and Review RegularlyProactive monitoring prevents surprises โ€” automated alerts and regular reviews ensure nothing falls through the cracks.
    • Set threshold alerts for cash balance drops below a defined floor (e.g., less than 6 months runway)
    • Flag accounts receivable aging weekly โ€” overdue invoices are a leading indicator of cash risk
    • Conduct a formal monthly cash flow review with finance and the CEO
    • Document recurring variances and update forecast assumptions to reflect them going forward
Articles
https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesbusinesscouncil/2023/03/02/the-importance-of-cash-flow-management-during-an-economic-downturn/?sh=404042f33b66
1forbes.com/sites/forbesbusinesscouncil/2023/03/02/the-import

Managing Working Capital

  1. Optimize Accounts ReceivableFast collections improve your cash position and reduce the risk of write-offs โ€” every day an invoice sits unpaid is cash you're not earning interest on.
    • Invoice immediately upon contract signing or delivery โ€” never wait until the end of the month
    • Set clear payment terms (Net 15 or Net 30) and follow up on overdue invoices at day 1 past due
    • Offer ACH or credit card payment options to reduce friction and accelerate collections
    • Negotiate annual prepay discounts with customers to pull cash forward
  2. Minimize Excess InventoryFor companies with physical goods or infrastructure spend, right-sizing inventory and vendor commitments frees up meaningful working capital.
    • Apply just-in-time principles to minimize cash tied up in inventory or prepaid commitments
    • Negotiate extended payment terms with suppliers to align outflows with inflows
    • Audit vendor commitments quarterly and eliminate underutilized subscriptions and services
    • Reassess working capital strategies as revenue grows โ€” what works at $1M ARR differs at $10M ARR
Articles
https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbesbusinesscouncil/2023/04/03/understanding-the-strategic-use-of-working-capital/?sh=14a0c1bf721d
1forbes.com/sites/forbesbusinesscouncil/2023/04/03/understand